How The Refugee Exodus Will Change Ukraine’s Demographics

If the violence continues for two years, an expert believes that five million people may decide to permanently relocate abroad. So, how exactly would the refugee exodus change Ukraine’s demographics?

If the military confrontation with Russia drags on, the population of Ukraine may fall by up to five million people. Ella Libanova, head of the Ukrainian Institute of Demography and Social Research, issued the warning, stating that many refugees would live overseas permanently.

Libanova stated during a nationwide TV marathon that the length of the Russian offensive's "hot phase" is currently the key determinant of the country's demography.

“If it is over by the end of the year, I think that we will lose about 500,000 – 600,000 people. It’s a lot, but not a disaster. If the hot phase of the war lasts, say, 2 years, then it could be up to five million,” Libanova said. She also added that as the conflict drags on, more people will flee.

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