Ukraine Strikes Russia’s Caspian Sea Flotilla

On Wednesday, Ukraine made history by striking a Russian military target located over 1,000 kilometers from the war’s front lines. The target was Russia’s military port in Kaspiysk, Dagestan, along the Caspian Sea. The attack sent shockwaves across both Russia and Ukraine, with local officials and news outlets buzzing about the event. Here’s a breakdown of the daring attack, its significance, and the controversy over the impact it caused.

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The Target: A Highly Strategic Naval Base

This wasn’t just any port. Kaspiysk is home to Russia’s Caspian Flotilla, a critical branch of the Russian Navy. This flotilla has played a role in launching missile strikes against Ukraine, while its marine forces have been involved in intense fighting in areas like Kherson and Zaporizhzhia. In short, this naval base is a key part of Russia’s war machine.

The base in Dagestan sits far from Ukraine’s usual reach, which is why this attack is particularly remarkable. It shows that Ukraine can now target sites previously considered safe due to their distance from the conflict zone. The Caspian Sea route has also been crucial for Russia to receive weapons from Iran, a route now appearing more vulnerable after this strike.

What Happened: Drone Attack at the Heart of Russian Defense

Eyewitnesses, local officials, and footage from the scene all confirm that Ukrainian drones targeted the port at Kaspiysk. Video evidence shows drones flying through Russian air defenses, dodging gunfire, and eventually crashing near or onto the vessels docked at the port. One of these drones was identified as a Ukrainian-modified Aeroprakt A-22, an ultralight aircraft transformed into a one-way “kamikaze” drone.

According to Ukrainian sources, at least one Russian vessel was damaged in the attack. They claim that two Russian missile ships—the Tatarstan and the Dagestan—suffered damage. Meanwhile, Russian authorities say that all drones were intercepted before any real harm was done. They insist the drones were shot down without damaging any ships, though a teenager was reportedly injured by falling debris.

The Evidence (or Lack Thereof)

The aftermath remains unclear. A video circulating online shows a drone crashing in a fireball near the port. Another angle even captures Russian personnel scrambling in the distance as an explosion lights up the sky. But here’s where the mystery deepens: low-resolution satellite images taken shortly after the attack don’t show obvious damage to the port or vessels. Russian authorities were quick to point this out, suggesting that the Ukrainian claims were exaggerated.

Additionally, the former Russian Navy officer, known as @Capt_Navy on Twitter, reviewed the video and claimed that the decommissioned ship Stupinets—another target believed to be hit—remains unscathed.

The Bigger Picture: Why This Attack Matters

This strike represents a significant turning point. Kaspiysk is nearly 700 miles from the Ukrainian front lines, meaning Ukraine has expanded its reach to unprecedented distances. According to Alexander Kovalenko, a Ukrainian security official, this attack sends a clear message: Ukraine’s drones can now strike the Russian Navy’s assets even in the Caspian Sea. He warned Russian sailors that “you will not have peace in either the Black Sea or the Caspian.”

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Russia’s military port of Kaspiysk on the Caspian Sea is nearly 700 miles from the front lines and less than 420 miles from Iran. (Google Earth image)

The Caspian Sea has been vital for Russia because it provides a secure route for transporting supplies and weapons from Iran, away from potential attacks. This strike not only shakes up Russian confidence in their own defenses but also raises questions about the security of this crucial supply route.

A Blow to Russian Air Defense?

This attack is also drawing scrutiny toward Russia’s air defenses. The Caspian Flotilla’s base is heavily guarded, yet a Ukrainian drone managed to get dangerously close. An influential Russian Telegram channel criticized the base’s defenses, calling the drone’s successful penetration a sign of weakness in Russia’s air defenses. They admitted that the drone got through not because it was new or high-tech but because of slow decision-making and bureaucracy among defense officials.

The Fallout

For now, the true extent of the damage is unclear, and both sides continue to release conflicting statements. Meanwhile, the attack has triggered heightened security measures in Dagestan, with local authorities even considering turning off streetlights at night to make it harder for drones to navigate.

Ukraine’s latest long-range drone strike shows that no target, no matter how far, is truly out of reach. As the war continues, Ukraine’s ability to strike deep into Russian-held territories and vital infrastructure suggests that this conflict is only growing more unpredictable and intense.

This daring move has raised the stakes, and both sides—and the world—will be watching closely to see what Ukraine does next.

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