This weekend’s election in Georgia ended in a predictable way: the ruling Georgian Dream party declared victory. But the pro-Western opposition isn’t happy. They’re questioning the results, calling for protests, and, possibly, pushing for a movement that looks a lot like the "color revolutions" of the past. If they succeed, they could overturn the election results through protest and even force, but it’s not that simple.
For a ‘color revolution’ to work, two things usually need to happen. First, an outside power—think the United States or the European Union—would need to back the opposition, putting heavy pressure on Georgia’s leaders. Second, those leaders would have to believe that they can’t risk a bad relationship with that powerful patron. However, it’s unclear if either of these conditions can be met in today’s Georgia.
Tbilisi's Uncertain Stand-Off
In Tbilisi, the atmosphere feels tense and familiar. Flashbacks to past revolutions—where crowds gathered, the ruling ...
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