China Just Fired Its First ICBM Into The Pacific In 40 Years

For the first time in over 40 years, China has launched a powerful intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) into the Pacific Ocean. This type of missile can travel thousands of miles, capable of reaching far-off countries, and the move has caught the world’s attention—especially the United States and its allies. Though China says it was just a training exercise, the implications are much larger and could signal the beginning of more frequent missile tests in open waters.

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Why This Is a Big Deal

The last time China fired an ICBM into the Pacific was in 1980. Since then, most of its missile tests have happened on land, deep within the country’s borders. While China has launched shorter-range missiles into the sea over the years, this open-ocean ICBM test is a bold move. It suggests that China is not only growing its nuclear arsenal but also becoming more confident in showing off its capabilities.

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Transporter-erector-launchers for China’s DF-41, one of a number of ICBM types the country currently has in service, on parade. GREG BAKER/AFP via Getty Images

Where Did the Missile Go?

The missile was launched from Hainan Island, a strategic spot in the South China Sea. It traveled about 7,145 miles (11,500 kilometers) and landed near French Polynesia, just outside France’s economic zone in the Pacific. The missile’s path snaked between Taiwan and the Philippines, two key U.S. allies in the region. It’s worth noting that the U.S. had an Air Force plane in the area, specifically designed to gather information about missile launches.

What Type of Missile Was It?

While China hasn’t revealed the exact missile used, experts believe it was likely a road-mobile missile like the DF-31 or DF-41. These types of missiles are mounted on trucks, making them easier to move and launch from different locations. China has been building more missile silos recently, but those are further inland, so a road-mobile missile makes the most sense for this launch.

A Show of Strength or Training?

China says this launch was part of their regular “annual training plan.” However, launching an ICBM into the Pacific isn’t just routine—especially for a country that hasn’t done so in decades. The timing is interesting, coming right after U.S. President Joe Biden emphasized the need for responsible competition with China in his speech to the United Nations. The message from China seems clear: they are ready to showcase their growing military might and are not afraid to do so in full view of the world.

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Satellite imagery the Pentagon has previously released of work on a new silo in a field in northwestern China. DOD Satellite imagery included in the Pentagon’s last annual China report showing what appears to be the completion of work, at least externally, on a new ICBM silo in a field in northwestern China. DOD

The Bigger Picture: China’s Expanding Nuclear Arsenal

China’s nuclear capabilities have been growing at an astonishing rate. Between 2020 and 2023, their number of nuclear warheads more than doubled, and they’re expected to have around 1,500 warheads by 2035. The U.S. government has become increasingly concerned about China’s rapid expansion, with a recent report focusing on the country’s military buildup. China’s closer ties with Russia, particularly since the war in Ukraine, have only heightened these concerns.

What Could Happen Next?

This launch might be just the beginning of more frequent missile tests in the Pacific. China has hinted that these tests could become part of their regular military drills, much like how the U.S. and other nuclear powers conduct similar tests. These exercises are not just for training but also to send a message to other countries: China is a global power, and its military strength is something to be reckoned with.

Tensions in the Pacific

China’s growing military presence is causing friction with many countries, especially those in the Pacific. The missile’s path, passing near Taiwan and the Philippines, underscores the ongoing territorial disputes and the potential for conflict in the region. Taiwan is a particularly sensitive issue for China, which considers it a part of its territory, even though it operates as a separate country with strong U.S. support.

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Russia and Chinese warships in the Tsugaru Strait between the Japanese home islands of Honshu and Hokkaido during a naval exercise in 2021. Photo by Sun Zifa/China News Service via Getty Images

Domestic Significance

The missile launch may also be aimed at showing strength within China. In 2023, China’s People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force, which handles the country’s nuclear missiles, was rocked by corruption scandals. The successful launch could be a way to restore confidence in this military branch.

What Does This Mean for the World?

China’s missile test sends a clear message: its nuclear arsenal is growing, and so is its willingness to demonstrate that power. As China’s missile capabilities continue to expand, the world will be watching closely to see how these developments affect the already delicate balance of power in the Pacific and beyond.

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